General Context Heuristics
Standard work
- Constrain decision-making and iteration flow by the results of risk assessment
- Use tight controls for activities that could damage the environment
- Prefer actions that preserve options and develop alternatives
- Don’t risk what you have and need for what you don’t have and don’t need
- Prioritize decisive actions that support the main effort
- Use standardized drills and processes as points of departure for adaptation
- Minimize meta-work such as task switching, overheads, and administration
- Don’t change or eliminate elements before understanding their function
- Minimize irrevocable commitments in cooperative environments
- Irrevocable commitments may be needed in highly competitive environments
- Use speed, maneuver, deception, and surprise to gain advantage in competitive environments
- Iterate between complicated and mess contexts, consigning things to routine context as stability emerges and the risk of getting it wrong is low
- Focus on systems in routine and complicated contexts, human capital in mess context
Bias towards simplicity
- Get the team right; good teams simplify execution
- Keep requirements simple
- Stabilize core principles, but allow variation in tactics
- Actions can be simple and broad, but should not be vague
- Actions must be logistically supportable
- Beware of confident planners with elaborate plans
- Simplify actions to reduce communication requirements
- Simplify actions to allow for adaptation to the unforeseen
- Simplify actions to reduce the need for command and control
- Simplicity is the result of long, hard work
- Cultivate simpler approaches by building and maintaining many options
- Simplify when you don’t need high efficiency or maximization
Warning signs
- Significant changes in size, speed, or concentration
- High power combined with low accountability
- Benefits and liabilities are disconnected
- Using heavyweight, slow decision-making processes for reversible decisions
- Assuming low volatility means low risk
Proactive work
- Perform periodic situation assessment and address context changes
- Adjust design decisions as feedback is received
- Make decisions that address outlier events by positioning to survive or benefit from them
- Evaluate decision sequence; first or last moves can be critical
- Focus on what it takes to succeed rather than success itself
- Cultivate the best people and manage poor performers out
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